April begins today and it looks like the weather pattern will become active over the next week or so, starting with the storm system on Friday. The “See Text” on the SPC Severe Weather Risk graphic is below. NOTE: It’s very techinical.
….LOWER MO VALLEY TO UPPER MS VALLEY…
BAND OF STG-SVR TSTMS MAY DEVELOP DURING DAY AS FRONTAL FORCING IMPINGES UPON INCREASING LOW-LEVEL THETAE IN NARROW CORRIDOR FROM MO-MN. DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELDS WILL BE STG…WITH 50-60 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR…BUT ALSO…LIMITED DIABATIC DESTABILIZATION AND MEAN WIND NEARLY PARALLEL TO BOUNDARY. MLCAPE 500-700 J/KG APPEARS POSSIBLE…WITH PREDOMINANT LINEAR CONVECTIVE MODE…WITH BOW/LEWP DEVELOPMENT POSING SOME RISK OF STG-SVR GUSTS OR A BRIEF TORNADO. SVR POTENTIAL APPEARS TOO CONDITIONAL TO EXTEND CATEGORICAL RISK THIS FAR N ATTM.