The Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma has posted an enhanced risk for severe weather for the majority of Iowa today. Numerous severe thunderstorms with strong tornadoes, very large hail, and damaging wind are likely across the area with the greatest threat across southwestern and west central Iowa. Storms that are ongoing this morning should clear out before noon and give plenty of time for destabilization across the state with little to no cap as we had last evening. Shear and low level winds will both combine to create a large area of organized supercell development with very large hail and strong tornadoes possible.
Thunderstorms should begin firing by noon or slightly thereafter across Nebraska southeastward into eastern KS and western Missouri. These storms will move northeastward during the afternoon and evening hours. Any of these storms may produce the severe weather mentioned. These storms will generally weaken as we move into the late evening hours, however we may then transition into a heavy rain threat later on. It will all depend on whether any one area can get repeated bouts of storms for there to be any chance of seeing flooding at this time. We’ll be watching trends this afternoon and into this evening and will have frequent updates throughout the day.
Stay tuned to the Iowa Weather Network for the latest updates during this situation!
Henry Luker | Lead Forecaster
Jeff Wilcox | Senior Forecaster
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