[youtube http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sYJId6z0AMQ&w=480&h=360]
DRYNESS AT THE END OF THE WATER: A play on a light at the end of a tunnel, we’re nearing that with rainfall beginning to come to an end across the state. One more day perhaps two in the eastern counties before some dry time returns to the state. Showers and thunderstorms are possible again today, with some severe weather and flooding rains. The Storm Prediction Center has all but the southwestern counties of the state under a slight risk of severe weather today and tonight. The main threats look to be from large hail and damaging winds with an isolated tornado threat similar to what occurred yesterday in the eastern counties. Storms are likely to form in the northern counties of the state and quickly move E/SE through the afternoon and evening. Of course this may change or may have changed since this post as models have not done well with this system the last few days. However, the storm chance is still there and you should be aware of the situation. Make sure you have a way to get warnings today. Stay tuned. Wednesday will also see some lingering activity especially in the eastern counties, otherwise the rest of the state should see some sunshine with highs well into the 80s to near 90. Any rainfall will exacerbate flooding across the eastern counties of the state where rivers are running high and are forecast to go over their banks over the next couple of days. Be aware of any flood or flash flood warnings that may be issued in your area.
COOLER FLOW: Temperatures will begin to trend down as we head toward the end of the week into the weekend with some sunshine around. Some disturbances may kick up a shower or two Friday and again Sunday but it doesn’t look to be too widespread at this time. Highs in the lower to middle 80s with lower humidity by the weekend will be commonplace across the state.
NO BIG HEAT: Looking more likely that we won’t be seeing any big heat waves at least through the first week and a half of July with a trough or weakness in the flow across the Midwest. This may bring some chance of showers and storms but not on an organized basis. The 4th of July looks good for now, but a storm is close enough that we’re not too confident on that solution as yet. We’ll keep watching.
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