[youtube http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=biPH5-I-EIs&w=480&h=360]
LOVIN’ FEELING (OF COLD): The warm weather of the last few days will be leaving the state today, not on a jet plane but via a clipper system coming in from the northwest. A few snow showers or flurries will be possible with some light accumulation of a half inch or less mainly in the northeastern counties of the state. Readings will be in the 30s and 40s today but those highs will be set before noon then readings will slowly drop into the teens to lower 20s tonight. Some single digits are possible as well. Flurries continue into Friday as well, but some peaks of sunshine will seen as well. Highs however will be much cooler with upper teens north to lower 30s in the south. The lack of snow cover over the southern half to two thirds of the state will be a factor in seeing warmer readings than we normally would see given the time of year.
NEXT WEEK STORMS: The GFS is still showing a storm system that will just skirt the state with some moisture. There will be one storm to our north and a much stronger one to the south. It looks as of now that the two will phase up but not until they are east of the state. Nevertheless, some snow or wintry mix will be possible late Monday into Tuesday across the southeastern half of the state. It’s too early to determine amounts at this time, but right now it looks to be light. Some wraparound flurries or snow showers will be possible during the day Tuesday as cold air moves back into the state once again. Then our attention turns to the end of the week (see video) A possible “Big Bad Nasty” may make an appearance next Thursday into Friday. We could see rain, wintry mix and some snow across the state, some could be significant. As this is just beyond the traditional seven day forecast, we’re going to hold off on this system until models can come to an agreement on where the low pressure center will track. This will determine what type of precipitation is going to occur, where and at what time and possibly how much any one area may get.
ACTIVE END: The month looks to end on an active note with the model showing several storm systems over the rest of the month into the first of March. It also looks to stay around seasonal levels for temperatures if not slightly below. Any precipitation will help in relief of the drought that is still ongoing in the state.