Iowa Forecast Discussion June 30th 2013 – Iowa Weather Network Archives

NO VIDEO TODAY

STAYING COOL: As we end the month of June and head into July the weather won’t feel like the middle of summer or at least like last summer with readings down in the 70s to lower 80s for highs with low humidity. There could be a speck or two of rain here and there throughout the next week especially Tuesday through Thursday otherwise it will be mainly dry and partly to mostly sunny skies and comfortable weather.

INDEPENDENCE DAY: As mentioned earlier there could be a pop up shower during the afternoon and early evening hours on Independence Day (Thursday) across the state with an upper level disturbance nearby but it shouldn’t spoil and firework displays at this time. The showers will be similar to what occurred today, brief showers lasting a few minutes or so and wetting the ground a little bit. The heavier showers may drop a few hundredths of an inch but nothing more.

FOLLOWING WEEKEND: The next organized storm system still looks to be on target for next weekend as the winds switch back to the south and southwest and temperatures start to feel more like early July should with 80s to around 90 and higher humidity. With that higher humidity and a front approaching that will be the stage for some shower and thunderstorm chances to increase specifically Saturday into next Sunday across the state. Saturday looks to be the best of the two days right now with next Sunday having the best chances for rainfall.

OUT INTO THE MONTH: The pattern looks to become more zonal across the Midwest by the second week of July but the GFS is also showing a thermal ridge developing over the state toward the end of the period moving the main westerlies to our north and bringing much warmer weather to the state at that time. We’ve seen this from time to time this summer that far out but it’s never materialized as yet. We’ll have to wait and see if this time the model has a trend toward warmer weather going or if it’s another far fetched idea lying around.