[youtube http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpQDuPlKOHU&w=640&h=480]
A FLURRY OF INACTIVITY: The next few days will see little if any serious weather to contend with across the state. A few flurries or some freezing drizzle is about all we’ll see until some time next week (depending on which model you trust). Today will see highs in the upper 20s to upper 30s across the state, with Sunday seeing a cool down of about 5-8° off Saturdays high. Sunshine will return at that time as well.
THE STORM TO WATCH: The EURO and GFS have been at odds over a storm that may/may not effect the area next week sometime. The GFS has been slowly pushing the system out of the state with each run and it’s finally accomplished that with this run leaving the state dry all week and warm as well. However the last EURO run (00z was not out yet as of this post) shows the system moving overhead late Wednesday into Thursday with some rain and perhaps snow. It’s a waiting game right now as to who to trust. Right now we’re leaning more toward the EURO, but thinking the amounts aren’t going to be as much as the EURO states, (we may even stay dry like the GFS says now, who knows)
THE REAL STORM TO WATCH: After that, we come to the storm that’s VERY interesting to watch. The one for next weekend. A low pressure will come out of the 4 corners region and race northeastward bringing rain, storms, snow, wind and all sorts of fun to the middle part of the country. It may be warm enough for the precipitation to start out as rain before switching over as the cold air filters in, but it’s too early to determine a precise path at this time, nor is it time to give out any sort of accumulations. This bears watching over the weekend and into next week for sure, especially if it continues over several more model runs.
STORM TO WATCH PART 3: Into voo-doo, we see another storm, not as impressive as storm #2, but this one would move over with cold air in place, thus snow would be the main type of precipitation for the state. This would be followed by arctic air from the north. The bitter cold has been seen on many of the model runs over the last few days and we’re becoming confident in such a trend at this point.