Regional weather view.
A dynamic weather system will be spreading all sorts of weather acorss the Upper Midwest this weekend. A low pressure system will track from South Dakota to Central Minnesota. South of this feature, a warming trend will be in place bringing unseasonably warm temperatures in the 60s, 70s, and even a few 80s across Iowa. On the west side of this system a sharp cold font will plow into this warm air, which will spark thunderstorms in parts of Southern Minnesota and Iowa, some of these storms could be severe with large hail and damaging winds. Thunderstorms will be numerous in this area. More north north scattered rainshowers are expected north of the warm front, and more north of this area, rain will mix with snow in Northern Minnesota where snowfall accumulations are possible. Strong northeast winds will effect Lake Superior and bring high winds to the Duluth area. Significantly colder air will follow and move into all areas following this front, highs will struggle to get out of the 30s region wide. Drier weather, remaining on the cooler side will be in place the rest of next week.
Local and Metro views.
Huge isn’t even enough to describe the weather change that is about to happen here in Southeastern Minnesota. Saturday will start off unseasonably mild, we might even have a shot a record highs, Later Saturday a cold front will come in sparking showers and thunderstorms, some of which could become severe. Behind this front it will really start to feel like December for a few days as highs struggle to get out of the 30s. I will break this down into sections.
Showers and Thunderstorms break out-Severe weather threat on Saturday
Saturday after morning showers and drizzle, will start off very mild and windy with winds gusting to 35-40MPH Temperatures will rise to near record levels rising to the upper 60s. Some spots may have a shot at 70. Later in the afternoon a very strong cold front will push through the state sparking numerous showers evening numerous showers and thunderstorms to our west, and later push into our are in the evening hours or after dark. Some of these storms may be on the strong to lower end severe side, with hail and high winds will be the main threats.
Rain Sunday possibly ending as light snow-Near 40.F drop in highs from Saturday-Monday
By Sunday the front will have passed leaving significant colder, windy and showery conditions. Temperatures will drop through the afternoon and some of the rain will change to light show or flurries. Little of none of this snow will accumulate. Highs on Sunday will be in the 40s early falling into the 30s by the afternoon, then in the low 20s Sunday Night. Monday is going to feel very cold, with breezy and cold northwest winds. Skies will be mostly cloudy and there could even be some flurries around. Highs will struggle to reach the low 30s for the 1st time this season. Temps will drop Monday Night to their coldest levels of the season so far, approaching the lower 20s and 10s in a few spots.
Saturday, Unseasonably Warm and Windy! south winds gusting 35-40MPH. Showers and Thunderstorms developing in the evening, Some could be strong to severe. Saturday Night, Showers Thunderstorms, some cloud be strong to severe early. lows in the middle 40s.
Sunday, Much Colder and windy! Rain in the morning, possibly ending as light snow or flurries with Northwest winds gusting to 30MPH. Sunday Night, possibly some sprinkles or flurries. Cloudy skies, lows in the low 20s
Monday, Breezy and Cold! Cloudy skies with flurries possible. Cold Northwest winds. Highs in the low to middle 30s. Monday Night, Cold! Clear skies, lows in the upper 10s to lower 20s.
Tuesday, Not as windy, Sunny with moderating temperatures. Highs in the upper 30s, Tuesday Night, Clear skies, lows in the low to mid 20s.
Looking Ahead
Looking towards next week it looks seasonable, cool dry days and chilly dry nights at least through most of Friday. Next Saturday the 17th a weather system arriving from our south will spread a quick shot of rain showers to our area. Clearing out and becoming cooler for Sunday the 18th. Drier and warmer weather prevails for Monday and Tuesday, before a strong storm system starts in Kansas and moves Northeast towards Minnesota. The model then shows widespread heavy rains moving up into our area Wednesday the day before Thanksgiving. The models shows colder air filters in by Thanksgiving day and turns rain to light snows, some of which accumulate even here in Southeastern Minnesota. Very cold air follows this system for the weekend of the 24th, with a chance of flurries every now and then.