Regional View Attention is turned towards a significant weather system moving across the Upper Midwest that has the potential to bring a large scale severe weather outbreak across most of the region. Most of Iowa Eastern Minnesota, and most of Wisconsin will under the gun for severe thunderstorms Saturday and especially Sunday. Meanwhile temperatures will …
Month: April 2011
Moderate Risk Today and Sunday
There is a moderate risk of severe weather today for the northern sections of Iowa, with a slight risk surrounding it including all but the southeastern counties. Large hail, damaging winds and tornadoes will be possible. The better chances of tornadoes looks to be across the northwestern counties at this time, with large hail possible …
Severe Parameters for Saturday
Here are the parameters from the 00z NAM model run at 7pm Saturday. All of the parameters are close to the top of all three scales across a large portion of the state. Also not featured on here is the CAPE values, which will be in the 1200-2400 J/kg (possibly up to 3000 J/kg according …
Stormy Weekend
There is still a slight risk of severe weather tomorrow for most of the state except the SE. Still looks like all modes of severe weather will be possible with large hail being the biggest threat on Saturday. Moderate risk of severe weather is still outlooked across the eastern counties with a slight risk everywhere …
Moderate Risk for Sunday
This is going to be a significant weather event across the state this weekend. There is a slight risk of severe weather for Saturday for the entire state. This is possibly going to be upgraded to moderate later today. There already is a moderate risk of severe weather for Sunday across the eastern part of …
First 60s of the season across the area today!
Fields East of the house April 7th 2011 It was a very warm pleasant day across the area today, I knew when I woke up to clear sun lit skies and temperatures in the mid 40s already at 9AM it was going to be a beatiful day much warmer then I originally thought. Highs topped …
Cold Rain Tonight
A cold moderate to heavy rain has been falling most of the afternoon across the southern counties of the state. Temperatures have been held down in the 40s to near 50 where rain has been falling while north of the rain shafts, readings have risen into the 60s. Rain will continue moving across the state …
Slight Risk for Saturday
Here’s the risk area for severe weather for Saturday. This covers the entire state and all modes of severe weather, as was mentioned earlier will be possible. There is also a threat of severe weather for areas east of I-35 on Sunday. All modes will be possible then as well.
CAPE vs Cap
Here is one of the WRF models run at the University of llinois. This shows the CAPE values will be well over 4000 J/kg across southern Iowa and northern Missouri. There is also little if any capping layer in those areas according to this model thus thunderstorm development “should” not be impeded. However, this is …
Stormy Weekend Ahead
NOTE: No Forecast Video today due to travel. SEVERE WX: Still looks like this weekend will be very active with showers and thunderstorms roaming the state. There is a chance of severe weather across the entire state on Saturday (mainly the afternoon and evening hours) and for the eastern half of the state on Sunday. …