For the second time in three days, the Storm Prediction Center has issued a slight risk of severe weather for this afternoon and tonight for the eastern half of the state, roughly along and east of US Hwy 63. The main threats from any storms that develop will be damaging straightline winds and possibly a tornado or two. Below is the discussion from the Storm Prediction Center’s first outlook of the day.

A WEAK UPPER TROUGH AXIS WILL EXIT THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING…WITH NO SEVERE ACTIVITY EXPECTED THROUGH 00Z. DURING THE DAY…SLY FLOW WILL INCREASE IN ADVANCE OF THE DEVELOPING LOW…WITH DESTABILIZATION OCCURRING DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT DUE TO A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET. BY AROUND 03Z…AN INTENSIFYING COLD FRONT WILL STRETCH FROM CNTRL IA INTO SERN KS. INITIAL DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR BETWEEN 03-06Z…MOST LIKELY IN THE FORM OF A SQUALL LINE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS EMBEDDED AREAS OF ROTATION. ALTHOUGH NAM AND GFS MODELS DIFFER WITH THE 12Z COLD FRONT/SQUALL LINE LOCATION BY AS MUCH AS 150 NM…A SUBSTANTIAL PRESSURE RISE/FALL COUPLET IS LIKELY TO ACCOMPANY THIS FRONT…WHICH WILL AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF POTENTIALLY WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS.